Peking University financial female doctor speaks again: people who can survive i
First, let me share a story: Always earn the profit that your eyes can see, and do not seek the profit of your delusions.
One day, the ancient Greek scholar Socrates led several disciples to the edge of a wheat field. It was the season of maturity, and the field was full of heavy wheat spikes. Socrates said to his disciples, "Go into the wheat field and pick the largest wheat spike, only allowed to enter, not allowed to retreat. I will wait for you at the end of the wheat field."
After understanding the teacher's requirements, the disciples entered the wheat field one after another.
There were large wheat spikes everywhere in the field, which one was the largest? The disciples walked forward with their heads down. Look at this one, shook their head; look at that one, shook their head again. They always thought that the largest wheat spike was still ahead. Although the disciples also tried to pick a few spikes, they were not satisfied and threw them away casually. They always thought there were still many opportunities, and there was no need to make a decision too early.
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The disciples walked forward with their heads down, carefully choosing, and after a long time.
Suddenly, everyone heard Socrates' old, bell-like voice: "You have reached the end." At this time, the disciples with empty hands suddenly woke up.
Socrates said to the disciples, "There must be a largest wheat spike in this wheat field, but you may not be able to meet it; even if you meet it, you may not be able to make an accurate judgment. Therefore, the largest wheat spike is the one you just picked."
Socrates' disciples heard the teacher's words and realized such a truth: a person's life is also like walking in a wheat field, also looking for the largest wheat spike. Some people see the full-grained "wheat spike" and take the opportunity to pick it; some people look around, repeatedly miss the opportunity. Of course, the pursuit should be the largest, but holding the wheat spike in front of you is the real thing.
Remember: Becoming a profitable trader is a journey, not a destination.In the stock market, there are stocks that rise every day, and there are opportunities to make money every moment, just like a field of wheat. Every investor hopes to pick the largest ear of wheat, but after a wave of the market, many people end up with empty hands or even losses. The reason is that they lose on their mentality. They keep chasing hot spots, constantly looking for dark horses, constantly changing stocks, and constantly chasing rises and selling falls. They always want to find the largest ear of wheat, but in the end, they often get nothing. Opportunities and time pass quietly in their chasing rises and selling falls.
As a mature investor, it is necessary to have a mature mentality and always remember: the wheat in your hand is the largest. Be down-to-earth, don't be ambitious, and only earn the profits that belong to you.
Profitability ability will inevitably make a profit; without profitability ability, it will inevitably suffer losses.
Of course, profitability ability is not as simple as making money by buying a stock in a bull market. It is based on our understanding of the market, taking the trading back to review the methods, and then using the methods to communicate with the market; the problems and insights that arise are then reflected in our trading. This is the logic of trading and making a profit. The market is like a woman, and it needs to cultivate feelings to get married and have children.
A trader, if he can maintain a period of successful trading, generally indicates that he has a certain degree of understanding and cognition of the market; he has formed a set of trading philosophy, trading strategy, trading rules, trading methods, and trading skills that suit him; he has considerable execution, control, and mentality, emotional self-adjustment, and bearing ability. These are all indispensable factors for successful trading.
However, after a period of successful trading, people are often prone to let emotions take the lead! Reason retreats to the second line! As a result, there are some subtle changes in mentality, thinking that they have already understood the language of the market, grasped the law of the market, and discovered the essence of the market, I can defeat the market! My trading system can solve more than 90% of the market's problems, explain more than 90% of the market's phenomena, and deal with more than 90% of the market's trends.
The fluctuations in the futures market, the daily rises and falls, and the T+0 trading model make traders feel that every minute is money. If you don't do it this time, the money will run away. So many times, it is impulsive to place an order. It is clear that this time the market may not be very obvious, but still want to place an order, thinking what if this time is right? There is a fluke mentality.
In fact, doing a market that you don't understand often has a higher failure rate. And even if you do it, since you are not so sure when you open the position, you won't hold it for too long. Maybe there is a little profit, you want to take profit, but if you lose, you want to hold the position.
Following the market and abandoning any subjective things is the premise of a successful trader.Prediction is a trap, a beautiful trap, essentially, prediction is subjective. Once subjectivity overcomes objective facts, it is likely to go against the trend.
So we need to establish your trading system, give up prediction, give up fear, and also give up greed and joy, everything is determined by your trading system to enter and exit the market.
In this trading system, it includes: trading strategy, trading rules, trading plan.
Opportunities are reserved for those who are willing to work hard, have a long-term vision; for those who are not affected by the current market fluctuations, and have a complete ideological preparation; for those with a broad-minded temperament and tenacious will quality, excellent personal charm.
People often turn a blind eye to simple truths because they feel it is an insult to their intelligence. The more difficult things are, the more people are addicted to them, because they have enough excitement and challenge, and for simple methods, people often look down upon them.
Stock trading is a high-leverage trading behavior. Three limit-down boards will lose 30% of the principal. In the stock market, everyone has made many transactions, and the vast majority have made money at least once, but the vast majority find it difficult to maintain stable profits. According to a research report from the Chicago stock market more than ten years ago, 95% of stock accounts will end within six months.
The stock market is called a life amplifier. A person's virtues and shortcomings will be magnified more than ten times in the stock market. She can make a person with good virtues earn money in a lifetime that would take dozens of lifetimes to earn. At the same time, it can also make a person with moral shortcomings lose their lifetime property in a very short time.
This market is not short of stars, but it is short of longevity stars. "Treading on thin ice, facing the abyss", respecting the market, conforming to the market, controlling risks, is always the foundation of investors.
Investment philosophy is a way of thinking, and investment theory is a kind of thought used to explain the characteristics and phenomena of market movements under the guidance of this way of thinking.
Choosing what kind of investment theory determines what kind of market you see, determines how you operate.The market does not actually have an absolute interpretation; it's merely a matter of probability and possibility.
Investment theory is not only your perspective for observing and understanding the market, but also the support for you to take action in an uncertain market, ultimately having a profound impact on your investment destiny.
Let's discuss how to select some stocks that replicate the limit-up and strong rebound. Do you know that the limit-up can be replicated? What kind of limit-up can be limit-up again later? Once you learn to replicate the limit-up, you have learned to replicate wealth!
The limit-up replication method is an operation in the rising wave, and it is a strengthened model based on the rising rebound profit model; its core is to find a limit-up before the start, and then grasp another rising wave after the strong rebound, but the probability of a limit-up appearing after this later start is relatively large. This method of operation is called the limit-up replication method.
Requirement: Break through the intelligent assistance line limit-up from bottom to top or start to rise to limit-up near the intelligent assistance line.
Note: The limit-up that deviates too far from the intelligent assistance line or the limit-up under the intelligent assistance line is a failure.
Practical combat illustration of limit-up replication skills:
1. After the limit-up, there is an upward gap, and the gap is not filled in the short term.
2. During the limit-up process, it breaks through the left peak top, and the retest of the peak top is not broken.3. After consecutive limit-up days, the stock price consolidates, and the auxiliary line actively moves up to touch the stock price.
4. After a limit-up day, the stock price touches the auxiliary line with a long lower shadow line.
Speaking of this, thoughtful readers may discover a problem: where does the adjustment end after a limit-up day? This actually involves the selection of the buying point, because the point where the adjustment ends is the best buying point. Here I provide some reference buying points:
1. For stocks with a gap formed by a gap-up opening, the gap position is the support point, that is, the buying point.
2. For stocks that break through the peak on the left with a limit-up day, touching the peak line is the best buying point.
3. Generally, the smart auxiliary line or the ten-day line is the best buying point.
4. Sometimes, the upper edge of the limit-up board is also a support point.Translation of the provided text into English:
Points to Note When Using the Limit Up Duplication Method:
1. Its pattern is for short-term operations.
2. The key to this pattern is to capture the bullish candlestick that initiates a limit-up board.
3. During the pullback process, a larger adjustment is not necessarily better; it is best not to break below the smart support line.
4. During the pullback process, the duration of the adjustment is not the longer the better; the time of adjustment is related to the height of the rise.
5. If you want a higher accuracy rate, focus on the pullback of the main uptrend; this will yield a higher accuracy rate and greater profits.
6. Pay attention to the selection of the buying point, which should be flexible, and the more support points that coincide, the better; when building a position, pay attention to a tiered approach, if you find that your support point has been broken, you should have funds to replenish at the next support point; if the situation deteriorates, cut losses and exit in time.
Do not sell without a surge, do not buy without a plunge, and do not trade in a sideways market.
There are many types of stock operation methods, each with its own advantages. What is shared below is a suitable short-term operation mantra, which can be collected and remembered if appropriate.
"Do not sell without a surge, do not buy without a plunge, and do not trade in a sideways market" - this mantra reveals the essence in one sentence. This is the simplest and most basic principle, which is actually the most fundamental and effective. Without understanding this mantra, even after thousands of transactions, one is no more than a blind man riding a blind horse in the stock market, and ultimately, death is inevitable. Before touching the plate, one must recite it silently, and keep it firmly in mind.Over time, habits are formed, and only then can one be tempered into steel. The first two sentences are easy to understand, but the latter part, "no trading during a sideways market," is something that should be particularly noted in warrant operations. When trading in a sideways market, if the market reverses, you will inevitably cut losses or chase the rise, both of which are undesirable. During a sideways market, the price difference is not significant, and if you lack patience and trade multiple times, you are bound to incur a loss in transaction fees.
Mantra One: Do not sell without a surge, do not buy without a plunge, and do not trade during a sideways market.
This is the simplest and most fundamental principle. Before touching the market, you must recite it silently and keep it in mind. Over time, forming a habit, you can be tempered into steel. The first two sentences are easy to understand, and the latter part, "no trading during a sideways market," means that during a period of small fluctuation with no obvious upward or downward trend, it is best to stay put and wait for the end of the sideways state before making a trade based on the situation. If you trade during a sideways market and the market reverses, you will inevitably cut losses or chase the rise, which is not advisable. During a sideways market, the price difference is not significant, and if you lack patience and trade multiple times, you are bound to incur a loss in transaction fees.
Mantra Two: Buy on a bearish day, not on a bullish day; sell on a bullish day, not on a bearish day. Act against the market, and you will be a hero.
This mantra is similar to the first one, emphasizing the principle of acting against the market. The first mantra is about short-term trading, while the second is about medium-term trading. That is, when buying, choose to buy when the K-line closes with a bearish candle; when selling, choose to sell when the K-line closes with a bullish candle.
Mantra Three: Wait a little longer during high and low consolidation.The content of this mantra includes the "no trading in a flat market" mentioned in the first mantra, but the main idea is to say that when a stock or warrant has been continuously rising or falling for a period and then enters a flat state, there is no need to sell all positions at a high level, nor is there a need to buy all positions at a low level, because after the consolidation, there will be a change in the market, so it is not advisable to subjectively decide to build or clear positions during the consolidation period. If the change is downward from a high level, clear the position in time to avoid losses; if the change is upward from a low level, buy in time to avoid missing out.
Mantra Four: When the high-level flat market rises again, seize the opportunity to sell quickly; when the low-level flat market hits a new low, it is a good time to buy heavily.
Secrets to profit from short-term operations: Do not sell without a surge, do not buy without a plunge, no trading in a flat market!
This mantra is a further elaboration of the third mantra, describing the best timing in the third mantra. Stock prices and the overall market often have new highs after high-level consolidation and new lows after low-level consolidation, so it is necessary to wait for the direction of the market change to become clear before starting. For example, if the market changes upward after high-level consolidation and sets a new high, this is the best time to sell; and if the market changes downward after low-level consolidation, this will be the best time to buy heavily.
In terms of strategic significance, the pattern determines success or failure; in terms of tactical significance, details determine success or failure.
People who do stocks should not harbor illusions. Many people who have been in the stock market for a long time will talk about their experiences, but that is useless to you. The real key to success is not within the matter, and many times it is inadvertently, which is not something that can be learned. I have seen many stock people talking nonsense in the forum, which is not beneficial to the operation, and it not only confuses their own character but also disrupts others' thoughts. Thinking too much about things can make the things that could have been done well go astray. The requirements for character in doing stocks are very high. Only when you can be happy without being happy and sad without being sad can you see a glimmer of hope, but you still need to make progress. Only when you can reach the state of closing the door in the empty mountain can you be considered as entering the realm. If you really break the shackles of greed and fear, then you can be as free and easy as riding a horse back home with the fragrance of flowers!